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Will Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés win the next Lima mayoral elections?

<1% say Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés win

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by official election authority, by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Results can take until June 30, 2027.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • Rafael López AliagaRafael López Aliaga wins.12%

    What has to happen

    Rafael López Aliaga wins, under the rules.

  • Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de OcaCarlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca wins.3%

    What has to happen

    Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca wins, under the rules.

  • Francis James Allison OyagueFrancis James Allison Oyague wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Francis James Allison Oyague wins, under the rules.

  • Samuel Marcos Daza TaypeSamuel Marcos Daza Taype wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Samuel Marcos Daza Taype wins, under the rules.

Show 19 more results
  • Ricardo Pablo Belmont CassinelliRicardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli wins, under the rules.

  • Daniel Belizario Urresti EleraDaniel Belizario Urresti Elera wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera wins, under the rules.

  • Santiago Rosendo Abarca LeónSantiago Rosendo Abarca León wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Santiago Rosendo Abarca León wins, under the rules.

  • Luis Isael Rubio IdrogoLuis Isael Rubio Idrogo wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo wins, under the rules.

  • Luis Alberto Huette TolentinoLuis Alberto Huette Tolentino wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino wins, under the rules.

  • Edgardo Renán De Pomar VizcarraEdgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra wins, under the rules.

  • Sandro Caller GutiérrezSandro Caller Gutiérrez wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Sandro Caller Gutiérrez wins, under the rules.

  • Jessica Viviana Linares RomeroJessica Viviana Linares Romero wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Jessica Viviana Linares Romero wins, under the rules.

  • Rubén José Ramírez MateoRubén José Ramírez Mateo wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Rubén José Ramírez Mateo wins, under the rules.

  • Elizabeth María del Rosario León ChinchayElizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay wins, under the rules.

  • Victoria Betzabé La Cruz GarcésVictoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés wins, under the rules.

  • Flor de María Hurtado ValdezFlor de María Hurtado Valdez wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Flor de María Hurtado Valdez wins, under the rules.

  • Oswaldo Hernán Vargas CuéllarOswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar wins, under the rules.

  • Rubén Daniel Bonilla EspinozaRubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza wins, under the rules.

  • Segundo Valdez ZavalaSegundo Valdez Zavala wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Segundo Valdez Zavala wins, under the rules.

  • Samir Frank Quispe CaballeroSamir Frank Quispe Caballero wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Samir Frank Quispe Caballero wins, under the rules.

  • Yehude Simón MunaroYehude Simón Munaro wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Yehude Simón Munaro wins, under the rules.

  • Susel Ana María Paredes PiquéSusel Ana María Paredes Piqué wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué wins, under the rules.

  • Carlos Alberto Tejada NoriegaCarlos Alberto Tejada Noriega wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Someone holding the job temporarily before the election doesn’t count.

See all fine print
  • Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by jne.gob.pe
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Official election authority (jne.gob.pe). Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Oct 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: jne.gob.pe (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.”
  • “If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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