Weather

Will Vance peak at ?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided by NOAA , by November 4, 2026.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

If Vance has not dissipated by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the advisory data needed to determine its peak intensity has not been published by that time, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after that date; it will then resolve based on the finalized advisory data published up to that point.

See all fine print

If the data is still unavailable at the end of that period, or publication has been discontinued, this market will resolve according to the highest category assigned to Vance in any advisory published up to that point.

Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: the condition as writtenSettled by .gov source: nhc.noaa.gov

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Yes orders vs No orders near the price

no order list read

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on NOAA National Hurricane Center. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Next official event: NHC advisory, see the official schedule

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If Vance never reaches Category 1 strength, "Category 1 or weaker" will resolve to "Yes".”
“This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Vance (NHC designation EP222026).”
“If Vance has not dissipated by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the advisory data needed to determine its peak intensity has not…”

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