US Elections
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
99% say Republicans win
Up 14 points today.
Decided by AP, Fox News and NBC race calls (official certification if they disagree).
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 99¢ means about a 99% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (2 in all).
Possible results
RepublicansRepublicans win the election.99%
What has to happen
Republicans win, under the rules.
DemocratsDemocrats win the election.<1%
What has to happen
Democrats win, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
What the news says
News search is temporarily unavailable. Check the official source: AP, Fox News and NBC race calls (official certification if they disagree).
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
Price chart
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Recorded moves
The price rose 5.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 91.2¢ to 96.3¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: AP + Fox News + NBC race calls2h ago
The price rose 13.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 78.5¢ to 92.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: AP + Fox News + NBC race calls4h ago
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