US Elections

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided by major news reports.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, the market settles as the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, the market settles as the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate.

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The details

No live order bookRule note: the condition as writtenNo single official source

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Yes orders vs No orders near the price

no order list read

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.”
“If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".”

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