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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?

Named source: binance.com (1m candle)

Explain it simply

Built from this market’s own rules and prices. It is research, not a recommendation.

1.What this market is really asking

This market asks: will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?

2.Words to know

Share
One unit of a market. A share pays $1 if its result happens and $0 if it doesn’t.
Official source
The organization named in the rules whose report decides the result.
Close price
The last price in a set time window named in the rules, read from the exchange the rules name.
Settle (resolve)
When a market is decided and shares pay out. Venues use “resolve” to mean the same thing.
UMA
The system Polymarket uses to confirm results. If someone disputes a result, people who hold UMA tokens vote on it.
Polymarket
The prediction market whose prices we show. Its main site is not available to US residents.
Kalshi
A US exchange that lists similar markets. It is regulated by the CFTC, and its rules can differ from Polymarket’s.
ET
Eastern Time, the time zone of New York.

3.Each possible result

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

4.How the payout works

Each share pays $1 if its result happens and $0 if it doesn’t. There is no live price for this market yet.

5.Why the price is where it is

We haven’t found an official source explaining this yet.

6.Fine print in plain English

  • The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

The short version

How to read this page

There is no live price for this market yet, so the crowd’s view is not available.

Low surprise risk: only the price at the official close counts, not moves during the day.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

Live price & chartPro

This card is not linked to a tracked market.

Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)
Chance the crowd gives Yes
-
no live price
Buyers vs sellers near the price
-
no order book read
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
Timestamp Candle Close
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (date from market title). Polymarket resolves on a single exchange source (binance.com (1m candle), 1m candle Close).

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Named source: binance.com (1m candle)
Fine-print risk: Low (15/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 15
1.
Who settles it (official source)
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored · https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
2.
Deadline and time zone
Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (date from market title) America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
Timestamp Candle CloseOnly the final "Close" of the single 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle at the stated timestamp counts. Earlier spikes or dips during the day do not matter. Rule text: "This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:0…"
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
No fallback or data-provider hierarchy stated in the rules. Trap: settlement depends on a single source (binance.com (1m candle)); if that feed or chart is down, or prints an outlier wick, there is no stated backup index and the outcome goes to UMA dispute.
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket resolves on a single exchange source (binance.com (1m candle), 1m candle Close). Most Kalshi crypto price contracts (e.g. KXBTC / KXBTCD) settle on a CF Benchmarks index such as the Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), averaged over the 60 seconds before the stated time across multiple spot exchanges. A brief binance.com USDT wick can settle Polymarket YES while Kalshi settles NO.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?: resolution rules & settlement traps · MarketWeaver