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Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?

Settlement under review

To be decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting

The result posted on Polymarket is being disputed, so no result is shown here until it is final.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.No result yet
What has to happen
Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.No result yet
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the official announcement

Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
54m ago
Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM…”
“The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.”
“If Houthi entry into Saudi Arabia is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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