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Fed & Rates

Will by 25 after the January 2027 meeting?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided Wed Dec 9, 2:00 PM by the Fed’s statement.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

On Wednesday, December 9 at 2:00 PM ET, the Federal Reserve announces whether it will change the interest .

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

If the Fed releases no statement by the end of its next scheduled meeting, Polymarket counts it as “No change”.

See all fine print
  • If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, the market settles as the "No change" bracket.
Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: the announcement countsOfficial source: recent release
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Buyers vs sellers near the price
-
no order list read
Fine-print risk
Medium (35/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Federal Reserve Board / FOMC. Latest FED release on this topic: "Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement" (2h ago).
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Wed, Jan 27, 2027 (time zone not stated).

Recent official releases on this topic (FED)

Next official event: FOMC statement, Wed Dec 9, 2:00 PM ET

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?: explained simply · MarketWeaver