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Fed & Rates

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ at the December interest rate announcement?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided by Bank of Canada official website, by December 8, 2026.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement.

See all fine print
  • If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, the market settles as the “No Change” bracket.
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The details

No live order bookRule note: the announcement countsSettled by Bank of Canada official website
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Yes orders vs No orders near the price
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no order list read
Fine-print risk
Low (25/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Bank of Canada official website (bankofcanada.ca). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Tue, Dec 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.

Source named: Bank of Canada official website (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the December 2026 interest rate…”
  • “If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on…”

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Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?: explained simply · MarketWeaver