Solana & Alts

Will Predict.fun launch a by November 15, 2026?

96% say yes

Up 20 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by November 15, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 96¢ means about a 96% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 15, 2026), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM on the date specified in the title.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.96%
What has to happen
Predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.4%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 15, 2026.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 96%No 4%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 91¢ to 94¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus32m ago
The price rose 3.4 points in about 15 minutes, from 88.1¢ to 91.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Nov 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Big trades across all markets