Geopolitics

Will Person R win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

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Possible results

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The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

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If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of trusted news reports; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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The details

No live order bookRule note: the condition as writtenNo single official source

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Buyers vs sellers near the price

no order list read

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Mon, Oct 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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