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Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?

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Decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting, by June 30, 2027.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

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The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

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If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "No".
In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.

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The details

No live order bookRule note: the condition as writtenNo single official source

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Buyers vs sellers near the price

no order list read

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.

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