MarketWeaver

Tech

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in November?

28% say yes

Up 6 points today.

Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles, by November 30, 2026, 4:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 28¢ means about a 28% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 30, 2026, 4:00 PM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.28%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by November 30, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.72%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 30, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

The one trap

Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 29.5¢ to 25¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Pyth 1m candle1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles Yes as soon as any 1-minute candle’s high reaches the strike, even if the price moves back right away. Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

Source named: Pyth 1m candle (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during November 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a…”
  • “The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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