MarketWeaver

Congress & Courts

Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

14% say yes

Up 3 points today.

Decided by Federal Register / Congress.gov, by June 30, 2027.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 14¢ means about a 14% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (June 30, 2027), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The State of North Carolina enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM .

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.14%

    What has to happen

    The State of North Carolina enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.86%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by June 30, 2027.

The one trap

A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify.

Price chart
-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenOfficial source: recent release
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written

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  • Official source: settlement runs on Federal Register / Congress.gov. Latest FEDREG release on this topic: "Release of Waybill Data" (7h ago).
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Wed, Jun 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of North Carolina enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new…”
  • “The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of North Carolina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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