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Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

91% say Morgan Wallen will be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026

Up 14 points today.

Decided by March 31, 2027, under the rules.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 91¢ means about a 91% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • Morgan WallenMorgan Wallen wins.91%

    What has to happen

    Morgan Wallen wins, under the rules.

  • Taylor SwiftTaylor Swift wins.4%

    What has to happen

    Taylor Swift wins, under the rules.

  • Kendrick LamarKendrick Lamar wins.3%

    What has to happen

    Kendrick Lamar wins, under the rules.

  • Post MalonePost Malone wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Post Malone wins, under the rules.

Show 12 more results
  • Billie EilishBillie Eilish wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Billie Eilish wins, under the rules.

  • DrakeDrake wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Drake wins, under the rules.

  • Olivia RodrigoOlivia Rodrigo wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Olivia Rodrigo wins, under the rules.

  • Sabrina CarpenterSabrina Carpenter wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Sabrina Carpenter wins, under the rules.

  • Bad BunnyBad Bunny wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Bad Bunny wins, under the rules.

  • Tyler, The CreatorTyler, The Creator wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Tyler, The Creator wins, under the rules.

  • SZASZA wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    SZA wins, under the rules.

  • WeekndWeeknd wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Weeknd wins, under the rules.

  • Luke CombsLuke Combs wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Luke Combs wins, under the rules.

  • Zach BryanZach Bryan wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Zach Bryan wins, under the rules.

  • Doja CatDoja Cat wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Doja Cat wins, under the rules.

  • Ed SheeranEd Sheeran wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Ed Sheeran wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, the market settles as “Other”.

Price chart
-Yes chance

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as written, time zone not statedNo source named
Fine-print risk
Medium (35/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Wed, Mar 31, 2027 (time zone not stated).

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart. If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.

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