MarketWeaver
?Log inSign up

Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?

.gov source: nhc.noaa.gov · End date Jan 25, 7:00 PM ET · Live market: Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

The short version

How to read this page

Traders put the chance of Miami Hurricanes winning the 2027 CFP National Championship at about 13%.

It dipped 3 points today, and there are more buy orders than sell orders waiting near the price right now.

Low surprise risk: the National Hurricane Center settles it based on the condition as written.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

The details

Rule note: stated conditionSettled by .gov source: nhc.noaa.gov
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
Stated Condition

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on NOAA National Hurricane Center. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the condition as written with an ET cutoff. Cutoff: Mon, Feb 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET Deadline: Mon, Feb 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Kalshi lists contracts on many of the same releases.

Next official event: NHC advisory, see the official schedule

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, chart & buyers vs sellersPro

Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price history and every recorded move here.

See Pro

Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

.gov source: nhc.noaa.gov
Fine-print risk: Low (15/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 15
1.
Who settles it (official source)
NOAA National Hurricane Center · https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
2.
Deadline and time zone
Mon, Feb 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
Stated ConditionResolution condition as written: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff."
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Kalshi lists contracts on many of the same releases. Compare whether each venue settles on the initial print or a revised figure, the cutoff timezone (Kalshi contract terms are in ET), and what happens if a government shutdown delays the release.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?: resolution rules & settlement traps · MarketWeaver