US Elections
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
<1% say Marine Tondelier wins
No price change recorded today yet.
Decided by major news reports.
Results can take until December 31, 2027.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (19 in all).
Possible results
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen wins the election.46%
What has to happen
Marine Le Pen wins, under the rules.
David LisnardDavid Lisnard wins the election.15%
What has to happen
David Lisnard wins, under the rules.
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon wins the election.14%
What has to happen
Jean-Luc Mélenchon wins, under the rules.
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe wins the election.8%
What has to happen
Édouard Philippe wins, under the rules.
Show 15 more results
Christine LagardeChristine Lagarde wins the election.6%
What has to happen
Christine Lagarde wins, under the rules.
François HollandeFrançois Hollande wins the election.2%
What has to happen
François Hollande wins, under the rules.
Dominique de VillepinDominique de Villepin wins the election.2%
What has to happen
Dominique de Villepin wins, under the rules.
Raphaël GlucksmannRaphaël Glucksmann wins the election.2%
What has to happen
Raphaël Glucksmann wins, under the rules.
Teddy RinerTeddy Riner wins the election.2%
What has to happen
Teddy Riner wins, under the rules.
Jordan BardellaJordan Bardella wins the election.2%
What has to happen
Jordan Bardella wins, under the rules.
Éric ZemmourÉric Zemmour wins the election.1%
What has to happen
Éric Zemmour wins, under the rules.
Bruno RetailleauBruno Retailleau wins the election.1%
What has to happen
Bruno Retailleau wins, under the rules.
Gabriel AttalGabriel Attal wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Gabriel Attal wins, under the rules.
Xavier BertrandXavier Bertrand wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Xavier Bertrand wins, under the rules.
Sarah KnafoSarah Knafo wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Sarah Knafo wins, under the rules.
Sébastien LecornuSébastien Lecornu wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Sébastien Lecornu wins, under the rules.
François BaroinFrançois Baroin wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
François Baroin wins, under the rules.
Bernard CazeneuveBernard Cazeneuve wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Bernard Cazeneuve wins, under the rules.
Marine TondelierMarine Tondelier wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Marine Tondelier wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Polymarket goes by what major news outlets agree on. If that is unclear, it uses the official results from the Ministry of the Interior.
See all fine print
- Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
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