US Elections
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
68% say yes
Up 14 points today.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 68¢ means about a 68% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
YesThe person named in the question wins the election.68%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
NoIt doesn’t happen.32%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
See all fine print
- If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “Other”.
- If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, the market settles as “Other”.
Price chart
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Recorded moves
The price fell 6.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 75.5¢ to 69¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
No official data feed19m ago
The price fell 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 78¢ to 74¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
No official data feed2h ago
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