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Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
97% say Lionel Messi wins
Up 3 points today.
Decided by MLS official results, by December 31, 2026.
Polymarket lists November 21, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until December 31, 2026.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 97¢ means about a 97% chance.
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
Lionel MessiLionel Messi wins.97%
What has to happen
Lionel Messi wins, under the rules.
Petar MusaPetar Musa wins.2%
What has to happen
Petar Musa wins, under the rules.
Denis BouangaDenis Bouanga wins.2%
What has to happen
Denis Bouanga wins, under the rules.
Kévin DenkeyKévin Denkey wins.1%
What has to happen
Kévin Denkey wins, under the rules.
Show 24 more results
Sam SurridgeSam Surridge wins.<1%
What has to happen
Sam Surridge wins, under the rules.
Brian WhiteBrian White wins.<1%
What has to happen
Brian White wins, under the rules.
Milan IloskiMilan Iloski wins.<1%
What has to happen
Milan Iloski wins, under the rules.
Hugo CuypersHugo Cuypers wins.<1%
What has to happen
Hugo Cuypers wins, under the rules.
EvanderEvander wins.<1%
What has to happen
Evander wins, under the rules.
Prince-Osei OwusuPrince-Osei Owusu wins.<1%
What has to happen
Prince-Osei Owusu wins, under the rules.
Alonso MartínezAlonso Martínez wins.<1%
What has to happen
Alonso Martínez wins, under the rules.
Hany MukhtarHany Mukhtar wins.<1%
What has to happen
Hany Mukhtar wins, under the rules.
Martín OjedaMartín Ojeda wins.<1%
What has to happen
Martín Ojeda wins, under the rules.
Anders DreyerAnders Dreyer wins.<1%
What has to happen
Anders Dreyer wins, under the rules.
Tadeo AllendeTadeo Allende wins.<1%
What has to happen
Tadeo Allende wins, under the rules.
Dejan JoveljićDejan Joveljić wins.<1%
What has to happen
Dejan Joveljić wins, under the rules.
Tai BariboTai Baribo wins.<1%
What has to happen
Tai Baribo wins, under the rules.
Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingEric Maxim Choupo-Moting wins.<1%
What has to happen
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting wins, under the rules.
Danny MusovskiDanny Musovski wins.<1%
What has to happen
Danny Musovski wins, under the rules.
Diego RossiDiego Rossi wins.<1%
What has to happen
Diego Rossi wins, under the rules.
Philip ZinckernagelPhilip Zinckernagel wins.<1%
What has to happen
Philip Zinckernagel wins, under the rules.
Djordje MihailovicDjordje Mihailovic wins.<1%
What has to happen
Djordje Mihailovic wins, under the rules.
Albert RusnákAlbert Rusnák wins.<1%
What has to happen
Albert Rusnák wins, under the rules.
Idan ToklomatiIdan Toklomati wins.<1%
What has to happen
Idan Toklomati wins, under the rules.
Marco PašalićMarco Pašalić wins.<1%
What has to happen
Marco Pašalić wins, under the rules.
Germán BerterameGermán Berterame wins.<1%
What has to happen
Germán Berterame wins, under the rules.
Cheikh SabalyCheikh Sabaly wins.<1%
What has to happen
Cheikh Sabaly wins, under the rules.
Louis MunteanuLouis Munteanu wins.<1%
What has to happen
Louis Munteanu wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules.
See all fine print
- If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, the market settles as “Other”.