Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No live price for this market yet.
Decided by December 31, 2026, under the rules.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
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The one trap›
The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.
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The details
No live order bookRule note: needs formal signingNo source named
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Yes orders vs No orders near the price
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no order list read
Fine-print risk
Medium (40/100)
settles on the date it takes effect
Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Press announcements or committee votes do not settle Yes; formal signing or enactment before the deadline is required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No resolution source named in the rules
Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.
Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
“This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be…”
“The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.”
“An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal…”
