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US Elections

Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided by major news reports.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print
  • If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "Other".
  • If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral and the Dirección Nacional Electoral.
Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: the condition as writtenSettled by electoral.gob.ar (tiebreak)
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Yes orders vs No orders near the price
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no order list read
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting; Official election authority (electoral.gob.ar) decides if ambiguous. Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sat, Oct 23, 2027, 8:00 PM ET.

Source named: electoral.gob.ar (tiebreak) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.”
  • “If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".”

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Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?: explained simply · MarketWeaver