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Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?

86% say yes

Up 21 points today.

Decided by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM , under the rules.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 86¢ means about an 86% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.86%

    What has to happen

    Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.14%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, the market settles as "No".

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 88.5¢ to 85.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed2h ago

  • The price fell 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 91.5¢ to 86.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed4h ago

  • The price fell 3.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 93¢ to 89.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed6h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo source named
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 4 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.

    1h ago

  • Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.

    2h ago

  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    3h ago

  • Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.

    5h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful…”
  • “The resolution source for this market will be footage from Kai Cenat's official broadcast on YouTube and Twitch.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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