US Elections
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
<1% say Josh Stein wins
No price change recorded today yet.
Decided by AP, Fox News and NBC race calls.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (28 in all).
Possible results
JD VanceJD Vance wins the election.20%
What has to happen
JD Vance wins, under the rules.
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff wins the election.19%
What has to happen
Jon Ossoff wins, under the rules.
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the election.12%
What has to happen
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins, under the rules.
Marco RubioMarco Rubio wins the election.9%
What has to happen
Marco Rubio wins, under the rules.
Show 24 more results
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom wins the election.7%
What has to happen
Gavin Newsom wins, under the rules.
Ron DeSantisRon DeSantis wins the election.5%
What has to happen
Ron DeSantis wins, under the rules.
Kamala HarrisKamala Harris wins the election.4%
What has to happen
Kamala Harris wins, under the rules.
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg wins the election.2%
What has to happen
Pete Buttigieg wins, under the rules.
James TalaricoJames Talarico wins the election.2%
What has to happen
James Talarico wins, under the rules.
Donald TrumpDonald Trump wins the election.1%
What has to happen
Donald Trump wins, under the rules.
Andy BeshearAndy Beshear wins the election.1%
What has to happen
Andy Beshear wins, under the rules.
Tucker CarlsonTucker Carlson wins the election.1%
What has to happen
Tucker Carlson wins, under the rules.
Wes MooreWes Moore wins the election.1%
What has to happen
Wes Moore wins, under the rules.
Mark KellyMark Kelly wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Mark Kelly wins, under the rules.
Raphael WarnockRaphael Warnock wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Raphael Warnock wins, under the rules.
Rahm EmanuelRahm Emanuel wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Rahm Emanuel wins, under the rules.
JB PritzkerJB Pritzker wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
JB Pritzker wins, under the rules.
Glenn YoungkinGlenn Youngkin wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Glenn Youngkin wins, under the rules.
Donald Trump Jr.Donald Trump Jr. wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Donald Trump Jr. wins, under the rules.
Nikki HaleyNikki Haley wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Nikki Haley wins, under the rules.
Michelle ObamaMichelle Obama wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Michelle Obama wins, under the rules.
Tom CottonTom Cotton wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Tom Cotton wins, under the rules.
Elon MuskElon Musk wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Elon Musk wins, under the rules.
Jamie DimonJamie Dimon wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Jamie Dimon wins, under the rules.
Elissa SlotkinElissa Slotkin wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Elissa Slotkin wins, under the rules.
James FishbackJames Fishback wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
James Fishback wins, under the rules.
Zohran MamdaniZohran Mamdani wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Zohran Mamdani wins, under the rules.
Josh SteinJosh Stein wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Josh Stein wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
Price chart
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