Other

Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?

20% say yes

Down 18 points today.

Decided by NCAA official results, by December 26, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 20¢ means about a 20% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesWhat the question describes actually happens.20%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by December 26, 2026.
NoIt doesn’t happen.80%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, the market settles as "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

Price chart

Yes 20%No 80%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsSettled by NCAA official

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the official announcement

Official source: settlement runs on NCAA official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sat, Dec 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: NCAA official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

This market joined the most traded markets.
51m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner…”
“If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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