GDP & Tariffs

Will Japan Q3 growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided by esri.cao.go.jp, by November 16, 2026.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

This market is decided by the official report.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

It uses the first number the government publishes, not later updates.

See all fine print

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: first number counts, no revisionsSettled by esri.cao.go.jp

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Buyers vs sellers near the price

no order list read

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the first published number

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Named URL in rules: esri.cao.go.jp. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles strictly on the initial agency release. Later benchmark revisions will not flip the outcome. Deadline: Mon, Nov 16, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: esri.cao.go.jp (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in…”
“If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve…”

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