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Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Source: Credible-reporting consensus · End date Oct 27, 11:59 PM ET · Live market: Will Israel election happen as scheduled? · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

The short version

How to read this page

Traders give Yes about 98% on “Will Israel election happen as scheduled”.

It rose 0.8 points today, and there are more sell orders than buy orders waiting near the price right now.

Medium surprise risk: the condition as written settles it, but the rules do not say which time zone the deadline uses.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

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The details

Rule note: observed event, time zone not statedNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
Observed Event

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on a "Observed Event" trigger with no stated cutoff timezone. Cutoff: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 11:59 PM (venue end date; settlement waits on race calls, hard deadline Tue, Oct 27, 2026) Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 11:59 PM (venue end date (time zone not stated). Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, chart & buyers vs sellersPro

Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price history and every recorded move here.

See Pro

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Source: Credible-reporting consensus
Fine-print risk: Medium (30/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Medium 30
1.
Who settles it (official source)
Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider)
2.
Deadline and time zone
Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 11:59 PM (venue end date; settlement waits on race calls, hard deadline Tue, Oct 27, 2026) unspecified
3.
What counts as Yes
Observed EventSettles when the described event is observed and reported by the named source. Rule text: "…Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this mar…"
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting; certified official results can lag media calls by weeks. Venues that settle only on certified results can resolve later, or differently if recounts change the outcome.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: resolution rules & settlement traps · MarketWeaver