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Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?

28% say Ian Buck will be the next CEO of NVIDIA

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 28¢ means about a 28% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • Ian BuckIan Buck wins.28%

    What has to happen

    Ian Buck wins, under the rules.

  • Colette KressColette Kress wins.23%

    What has to happen

    Colette Kress wins, under the rules.

  • Rene HaasRene Haas wins.5%

    What has to happen

    Rene Haas wins, under the rules.

  • Jay PuriJay Puri wins.3%

    What has to happen

    Jay Puri wins, under the rules.

Show 14 more results
  • Chris MalachowskyChris Malachowsky wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Chris Malachowsky wins, under the rules.

  • Michael KaganMichael Kagan wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Michael Kagan wins, under the rules.

  • Jonah AlbenJonah Alben wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Jonah Alben wins, under the rules.

  • Madison HuangMadison Huang wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Madison Huang wins, under the rules.

  • Lisa SuLisa Su wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Lisa Su wins, under the rules.

  • Debora ShoquistDebora Shoquist wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Debora Shoquist wins, under the rules.

  • Nico CaprezNico Caprez wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Nico Caprez wins, under the rules.

  • Eric SchmidtEric Schmidt wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Eric Schmidt wins, under the rules.

  • Hock TanHock Tan wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Hock Tan wins, under the rules.

  • Thomas KurianThomas Kurian wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Thomas Kurian wins, under the rules.

  • Matt GarmanMatt Garman wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Matt Garman wins, under the rules.

  • Bill DallyBill Dally wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Bill Dally wins, under the rules.

  • Spencer HuangSpencer Huang wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Spencer Huang wins, under the rules.

  • Pat GelsingerPat Gelsinger wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Pat Gelsinger wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 23.5¢ to 28¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus18m ago

  • The price rose 3 points in about 15 minutes, from 21¢ to 24¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

  • The price fell 3.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 24.5¢ to 21¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus3h ago

  • The price fell 6 points in about 15 minutes, from 30.5¢ to 24.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus7h ago

  • The price fell 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 38¢ to 35¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus9h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sun, Dec 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 5 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    1h ago

  • Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.

    6h ago

  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    6h ago

  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    8h ago

  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    8h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by…”
  • “If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?: explained simply · MarketWeaver