MarketWeaver

Solana & Alts

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

81% say yes

Up 58 points today.

Decided by Binance spot pair 1-minute candles, by December 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 81¢ means about an 81% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.81%

    What has to happen

    Any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 16:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.19%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 23:59 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 10.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 71.5¢ to 82¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)33m ago

  • The price fell 6.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 69.5¢ to 63.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)1h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Binance spot pair 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles Yes if any single 1-minute candle high or low touches the strike price, even if the price reverses right away. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading picked up (about 10 times the usual hourly amount).

    3m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 16:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPEUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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