Tech

Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided by major news reports, by November 15, 2026.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: the announcement countsNo single official source

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Yes orders vs No orders near the price

no order list read

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the official announcement

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sun, Nov 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which "Carbon", or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the…”
“A model released under any other name, including a new Gemini model (e.g., Gemini 4.1) or an update to Gemini 4 Argon (including an update…”
“The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and…”

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