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Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

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Decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting, by December 31, 2027.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

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The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

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The details

No live order bookRule note: the event happening and being officially reportedNo single official source

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Yes orders vs No orders near the price

no order list read

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the event happening and being officially reported

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the event happening and being officially reported, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Fri, Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the…”

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