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Ethereum

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 30?

19% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles, by October 30, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 19¢ means about a 19% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the ETH/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules. Yes wins if: Any Binance 1 minute for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title.

Possible results

  • YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.19%

    What has to happen

    Any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.81%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by October 30, 2026.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 3.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 21¢ to 17.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)14m ago

  • The price fell 23 points in about 15 minutes, from 43.5¢ to 20.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)1h ago

  • The price fell 14.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 45¢ to 30.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)2h ago

  • The price rose 19.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 31¢ to 50.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles Yes if any single 1-minute candle high or low touches the strike price, even if the price reverses right away. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 30?: explained simply · MarketWeaver