Ethereum

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1?

12% say yes

Down 17 points today.

Decided by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles, by October 26, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 12¢ means about a 12% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the ETH/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.12%
What has to happen
Any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the date range specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title.
NoIt doesn’t happen.88%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by October 26, 2026.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 12%No 88%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 8.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 7¢ to 15.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)42m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)

Fine-print risk

Low (25/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles Yes as soon as any 1-minute candle’s low reaches the strike, even if the price moves back right away. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on…”
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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