Culture

Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?

2% say yes

Down 3 points today.

Decided by the-numbers.com, by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 2¢ means about a 2% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesThe count or result in the question is what actually happens.2%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoIt doesn’t happen.98%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 2%No 98%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 3.4 points in about 15 minutes, from 4.3¢ to 7.7¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: the-numbers.com8h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the final, revised numberSettled by the-numbers.com

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the final, revised number

Official source: settlement runs on the-numbers.com (the-numbers.com). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the final, revised number, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: the-numbers.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 4 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
8m ago
Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.
3h ago
Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.
4h ago
Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.
4h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to how much "Ebenezer" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (November 13 - 15).”
“This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than December 15, 2026…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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