US Elections

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential ?

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Possible results

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The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

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The details

No live order bookRule note: the condition as writtenSettled by Official party sources

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Buyers vs sellers near the price

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Fine-print risk

Low (25/100)

settles on the condition as written

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of official party sources (nomination accepted). Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Nov 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Official party sources (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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