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Will Dário Barbosa win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?

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Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

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The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print
  • The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
  • If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "Other".
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The details

No live order bookRule note: the condition as writtenSettled by Electoral Court (tiebreak)
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Buyers vs sellers near the price
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no order list read
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting; Official election authority (Electoral Court) decides if ambiguous. Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Oct 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Electoral Court (tiebreak) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Will Dário Barbosa win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?: explained simply · MarketWeaver