MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

Tech

Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?

21% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 21¢ means about a 21% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.21%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.79%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Loading...

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 10.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 34.5¢ to 24.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus39m ago

  • The price rose 9.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 19¢ to 28.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus3h ago

  • The price fell 6 points in about 15 minutes, from 21.5¢ to 15.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus5h ago

  • The price fell 13 points in about 15 minutes, from 36.5¢ to 23.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus6h ago

  • The price rose 13 points in about 15 minutes, from 23.5¢ to 36.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus6h ago

  • The price fell 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 27¢ to 20¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus7h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sun, Dec 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 6 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.

    9m ago

  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    2h ago

  • Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.

    2h ago

  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    3h ago

  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    4h ago

  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    5h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by…”
  • “If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.

By joining you agree to our Privacy Policy.

Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?: explained simply · MarketWeaver