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Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in November?

43% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 43¢ means about a 43% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

  • YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.43%

    What has to happen

    Any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.57%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 3.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 42.5¢ to 46¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)50m ago

  • The price fell 9.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 50.5¢ to 41.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)1h ago

  • The price fell 3.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 54¢ to 50.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)2h ago

  • The price fell 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 60.5¢ to 55.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)4h ago

  • The price fell 3.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 62.5¢ to 59¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)8h ago

  • The price rose 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 56.5¢ to 61.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)11h ago

  • The price fell 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 60.5¢ to 55.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)11h ago

  • The price rose 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 55.5¢ to 60.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)12h ago

  • The price fell 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 65.5¢ to 58.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)13h ago

  • The price fell 14.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 73.5¢ to 59.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)14h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)
Fine-print risk
Medium (35/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles Yes as soon as any 1-minute candle’s high reaches the strike, even if the price moves back right away. Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 5 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.

    20m ago

  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    7h ago

  • Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.

    7h ago

  • Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.

    12h ago

  • Trading rose to about 10 times the usual hourly amount.

    13h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on…”
  • “The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in November?: explained simply · MarketWeaver