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Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 31?

21% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 21¢ means about a 21% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules. Yes wins if: Any Binance 1 minute for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title.

Possible results

  • YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.21%

    What has to happen

    Any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.79%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 25.5¢ to 21.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)30m ago

  • The price fell 3 points in about 15 minutes, from 25.5¢ to 22.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)60m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles Yes as soon as any 1-minute candle’s low reaches the strike, even if the price moves back right away. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00…”
  • “The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 31?: explained simply · MarketWeaver