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Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

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Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

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The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print
  • If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of trusted news reports; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
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The details

No live order bookRule note: the event happening and being officially reported, time zone not statedNo single official source
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Buyers vs sellers near the price
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no order list read
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
settles on the event happening and being officially reported
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the event happening and being officially reported, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Tue, Jun 2, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

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Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?: explained simply · MarketWeaver