Tech
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
79% say yes
Down 8 points today.
Decided by fe.secondmarket.com, by December 31, 2026.
Polymarket lists January 4, 2027 as the end date, but the rules allow until December 31, 2026.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 79¢ means about a 79% chance.
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.
Possible results
YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.79%
What has to happen
Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.21%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026.
The one trap
If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
See all fine print
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
