Will 2 Federal Reserve (the Fed). The central bank of the United States. One of its jobs is setting a key interest rate that affects loans and savings.Rate hike. When a central bank raises its interest rate. Borrowing tends to get more expensive. happen in 2026?
No live price for this market yet.
Decided Wed Dec 9, 2:00 PM ET. Eastern Time, the time zone of New York. by the Fed’s statement.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
Counts every Fed rate hike in 2026, including emergency moves, through Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET.
Possible results
There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.
The one trap›
This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
Show details for experienced traders
The details
No live order bookRule note: the condition as writtenOfficial source: recent release
Chance the crowd gives Yes
-
no live price
Yes orders vs No orders near the price
-
no order list read
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written
Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Federal Reserve Board / FOMC. Latest FED release on this topic: "Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement" (9d ago).
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.
Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
“This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during…”
