Solana & Alts

Will 1win launch a by October 31, 2026?

85% say yes

Up 81 points today.

Decided by x.com, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 85¢ means about an 85% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: 1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.85%
What has to happen
1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.15%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 85%No 15%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 36.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 51.5¢ to 87.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: x.com37m ago
The price rose 52.4 points in about 15 minutes, from 15.2¢ to 67.6¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: x.com1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by x.com

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on x.com (x.com); credible reporting may also be used. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: x.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 21 times the usual hourly amount.
7m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.”
“The primary resolution source for this market will be information from 1win (https://x.com/1winToken), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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