MarketWeaver

US Elections

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2026.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: the announcement countsNo single official source
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Yes orders vs No orders near the price
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no order list read
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United…”
  • “The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

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Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?: explained simply · MarketWeaver