Esports

A Team vs Nova Esports: who will win?

>99% say the Nova Esports win

Down 17 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists October 30, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 13, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

A Team and Nova Esports play a Valorant match at the VCT Threshold China Week 2, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM .

Possible results

A TeamA Team wins.<1%
What has to happen
A Team win the match against Nova Esports.
Nova EsportsThe Nova Esports win.>99%
What has to happen
Nova Esports win the match against A Team.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, the market settles as 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET).

Price chart

A Team <1%Nova Esports >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 33.6 points in about 15 minutes, from 36.5¢ to 2.9¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: vlr.gg44m ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by vlr.gg

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on vlr.gg official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 5:00 AM ET.

Source named: vlr.gg (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading picked up (about 12 times the usual hourly amount).
14m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 3 match between A Team and Nova Esports in the VCT Threshold China Week 2, initially scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "A Team" if A Team win the match against Nova Esports. This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win the match against A Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

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