US x Iran Effective Ceasefire. An agreement to stop fighting, for a while or for good. by November 30?
No live price for this market yet.
Decided by major news reports, by November 30, 2026.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.
The one trap›
If someone disputes the result on Polymarket, UMA token holders vote to settle it. Kalshi settles by its own rulebook.
Show details for experienced traders
The details
No live order bookRule note: needs confirmed reportsNo single official source
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Yes orders vs No orders near the price
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no order list read
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
settles on the condition as written
Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A single outlet’s breaking report does not settle Yes; it needs several sources agreeing or official confirmation. Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM IRST.
Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)
Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.
Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
“This market will resolve to “Yes” if a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran…”
