GDP & Tariffs

Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided by Federal Register / Congress.gov, by October 31, 2026.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: the announcement countsSettled by .gov source: federalregister.gov

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Yes orders vs No orders near the price

no order list read

Fine-print risk

Low (25/100)

settles on the official announcement

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Federal Register / Congress.gov. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Next official event: Federal Register publication, see the official schedule

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the White House, or any Cabinet member publicly and officially announces a tariff increase on Canada…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

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