Other

: Belgium (-1.5)

96% say Türkiye

Down 19 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by November 12, 2026, 12:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 96¢ means about a 96% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

BelgiumThe result is “Belgium”.4%
What has to happen
Belgium win the game by 2 or more goals.
TürkiyeThe result is “Türkiye”.96%
What has to happen
Türkiye beats Belgium, under the rules.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Belgium 4%Türkiye 96%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 26 points in about 15 minutes, from 38¢ to 12¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus5m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If a result is awarded by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Türkiye".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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