Other

Will Norway vs. Wales end in a draw?

14% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided when a champion is named, by November 14, 2026, 12:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 14¢ means about a 14% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner. Yes wins if: The game ends in a draw.

Possible results

YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.14%
What has to happen
The game ends in a draw.
NoSomeone else wins the title.86%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market settles as "Yes".

Price chart

Yes 14%No 86%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 14.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 25.5¢ to 11¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus7m ago
The price rose 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 18.5¢ to 23.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus41m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If a result is awarded by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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