MMA

Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke: who will win?

57% say Stephen Thompson wins

Down 2 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 14, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 57¢ means about a 57% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Stephen Thompson and Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims) play a match in UFC 334, scheduled for November 14, 2026.

Possible results

Stephen ThompsonStephen Thompson wins.57%
What has to happen
Stephen Thompson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Radtke at UFC 334: Gane vs.
Charles RadtkeCharles Radtke wins.43%
What has to happen
Charles Radtke is officially declared the winner.

The one trap

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price chart

Stephen Thompson 57%Charles Radtke 43%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by UFC official

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on UFC official results. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: UFC official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
6h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
6h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
7h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.”
“If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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