MMA

Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan: who will win?

55% say Renato Moicano wins

Up 1 point today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 55¢ means about a 55% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Renato Moicano and Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card) play a match in UFC Fight Night, scheduled for October 31, 2026.

Possible results

Renato MoicanoRenato Moicano wins.55%
What has to happen
Renato Moicano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs.
Tom NolanTom Nolan wins.45%
What has to happen
Tom Nolan is officially declared the winner.

The one trap

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price chart

Renato Moicano 55%Tom Nolan 45%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by UFC official

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on UFC official results. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: UFC official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

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Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.”
“If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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