Soccer

AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: who will win?

56% say Ferencvárosi TC wins

Down 6 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 5 at 12:45 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 56¢ means about a 56% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 5 at 12:45 PM ET.

Possible results

AC MilanAC Milan wins.44%
What has to happen
AC Milan win the game by 2 or more goals.
Ferencvárosi TCFerencvárosi TC wins.56%
What has to happen
Ferencvárosi TC beats AC Milan, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.

Price chart

AC Milan 44%Ferencvárosi TC 56%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 48.5¢ to 44.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: UEFA official28m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by UEFA official

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on UEFA official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 12:45 PM ET.

Source named: UEFA official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 8 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago
Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ferencvárosi TC".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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